Analysis of Reddest and Bluest Counties in Texas Based on Recent Election Results

The political landscape in Texas is shifting, with recent elections showing a narrowing margin between Republicans and Democrats. In the 2014 gubernatorial election, Greg Abbott won by over 20 percentage points, but by 2022, his margin of victory had decreased to about 11 percentage points. Similarly, in presidential elections, the margin has been getting closer, with Donald Trump winning by less than 6 percentage points in 2020.

The base of support for Democrats has been in large cities like Austin, Houston, Dallas, and El Paso, as well as in South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley. Republicans have strong support in rural areas like the Panhandle, West Texas, and East Texas.

Roberts County and King County are the reddest counties in Texas, with average Republican margins of victory exceeding 90 percentage points. On the other hand, Zavala County has the highest average margin of victory for Democrats, with an average of 42.64 percentage points.

Some counties have seen significant shifts in their political leanings, with South Texas counties moving to the right and suburban counties moving to the left. Overall, Texas has seen an average shift towards the Democrats of 2.37% each election cycle since 2014.

The changing political landscape in Texas reflects a broader trend of shifting demographics and political preferences in the state.